Testing for co-nonlinearity (2014)

posted Nov 10, 2014, 2:36 AM by Håvard Hungnes   [ updated Nov 10, 2014, 2:42 AM ]
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, DOI: 10.1515/snde-2013-0092

Abstract: This article introduces the concept of co-nonlinearity. Co-nonlinearity is an example of a common feature in time series [Engle, Robert F., and Sharon Kozicki. 1993. “Testing for Common Features.” Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 11 (4): 369–380] and an extension of the concept of common nonlinear components [Anderson, Heather M., and Farshid Vahid. 1998. “Testing Multiple Equation Systems for Common Nonlinear Components.” Journal of Econometrics 84 (1): 1–36]. If some time series follow a nonlinear process but where a linear relationship between the levels of these series removes the nonlinearity, such a relationship is defined as co-nonlinear. In this article I show how to determine the number of such co-nonlinear relationships. Furthermore, I show how to formulate hypothesis tests on the co-nonlinear relationships in a full maximum likelihood framework. The framework for identifying co-nonlinear relationships is illustrated in a system of Norwegian interest rates.